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KPMG:2017年美国房地产市场展望调查.pdf

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1、2017 11th Edition The global perspective on prime property and investment THE WEALTH REPORT 2017THE WEALTH REPORT 1 | KNIGHTFRANK.COM The Wealth Report 2017 COMMISSIONED BY Lord Andrew Hay WRITTEN BY Knight Frank Research DESIGNED BY Knight Frank Creative PRINTED BY Optichrome Knight Frank EDITOR An

2、drew Shirley GLOBAL HEAD OF RESEARCH Liam BaileyRESEARCH Grinne Gilmore Anthony Duggan Kate Everett-Allen James Roberts BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT Sarah May-Brown GROUP HEAD OF MARKETING, COMMUNICATIONS AND DIGITAL Fiona OKeefe GLOBAL PUBLICATIONS MANAGER Holly HarveyHEAD OF CORPORATE COMMUNICATIONS Alice

3、 MitchellHEAD OF RESIDENTIAL PR Daisy ZieglerCREATIVE DESIGN LEAD Christopher Agius DESIGNER Mia Birchall ALL KNIGHT FRANK CONTACTS: Definitions UHNWI Ultra-high-net-worth individual someone with a net worth of over US$30m excluding their primary residenceHNWI High-net-worth individual someone with

4、 a net worth of over US$1m excluding their primary residence PRIME PROPERTY The most desirable and most expensive property in a given location, generally defined as the top 5% of each market by value. Prime markets often have a significant international bias in terms of buyer profile Sub-editor Loui

5、se Bell, Sunny Creative Photography Portraits of Lord Andrew Hay, Liam Bailey and Andrew Shirley by John Wright Calvin Klein Villa by Bruce Weber Georgio Armani Yacht by Frederike Helwig Selected images by Getty Illustration Benjamin Flouw Infographics Nicholas Felton CatalogTree Quiddity Media Now

6、Available View The Wealth Report and properties from around the world on your device today. KnightF THE WEALTH REPORT R eading the 11th edition of The Wealth Report and looking ahead to the rest of 2017, there is no doubt that the world is at a crossroads. As the report enters its second decade, the

7、 global milestones of 2017 will include the first year of Donald Trumps presidency, the opening overtures of the UKs Brexit negotiations, pivotal German and French elections and a critical succession of power in China. All have the potential to be as far reaching and influential on wealth creation a

8、nd wealth flows as the global financial crisis, which defined the first decade of The Wealth Report. In this time of rapid change and volatility, Knight Frank remains independent and committed to matching people and property perfectly, identifying and understanding residential and commercial propert

9、y opportunities in key global markets, and working increasingly closely with our clients, both new and long standing. To achieve this, we have three unwavering points of focus: Market-leading research, providing our clients with the deepest insight An industry-leading technology platform, keeping ou

10、r clients informed and enabling them to transact efficiently A total commitment to outstanding client service, delivered by the best professionals. Binding together these strands of our DNA is an ever growing network. Last year, in response to client demand, we opened a new office in the Philippines

11、 and further offices in London, Germany and the Alps, as well as re-establishing an exceptional team in Shanghai. Our new Family Office initiative is driven by our clients growing emphasis on wealth preservation as much as wealth creation. For this audience in particular, this report is essential as

12、 it delivers insight and advice not just for the coming year, but for the next decade. For those readers who have yet to work with us, The Wealth Report offers an insight into the thought leadership that underpins the service provided by our transactional, consultancy, investment and valuation teams

13、, based in 413 offices in 60 countries around the world. I hope that you find the report illuminating and thought provoking. For some, it will raise as many questions and possibilities as it answers. Do please get in touch so that we can help you address any requirements or challenges you may have.

14、The Wealth Report will be updated over the coming months as we pass through the changing landscape of 2017. It promises to be a fast-moving year and we would be delighted to work with you to guide you through it. WELCOME TO The Wealth Report 11th EditionLORD ANDREW HAY GLOBAL HEAD OF RESIDENTIALTHE

15、WEALTH REPORT Contents Global Wealth Trends UNCERTAINTY RULES What next for wealth creation in a post-truth world? page 12 NEW HORIZONS Our experts predict the next wave of wealth creation hotspots page 16 WORLD IN MOTION Tracking and regulating wealth flows is moving up the agenda page 18 BARRIERS

16、AND OPPORTUNITIES From Blockchain to Brexit, the factors driving the movement of wealth and the wealthy page 20 CITYSCAPE Mapping the cities that matter most to the worlds wealthy page 22 A QUESTION OF PRIORITIES From private jets to public schools and making philanthropy count page 2410. From the E

17、ditor With thought-provoking contributors, in-depth analysis and detailed data, The Wealth Report offers a unique insight into what matters to UHNWIs 04. The Big Interview Eurasia Groups Ian Bremmer on why an independent America tops his list of geopolitical risks facing the world in 2017 06. Proper

18、ty Trends GOING UP, GOING DOWN This years PIRI 100 sees the gap between the top performers and the rest of the pack growing wider page 30 HOME COMFORTS How many houses, where and why? The latest prime property purchase trends page 34 FUTURE VIEW The global trends shaping the future of the prime prop

19、erty market page 3529. Luxury Spending Trends LIQUID ASSETS Its a good year for wine, according to the Knight Frank Luxury Investment Index page 50 ALL PASSION SPENT Our brief guide to investing in luxury assets promises more pleasure, less pain page 54 THE EXPERIENCE ECONOMY The luxury investments

20、bringing benefits that money simply cant buy page 56 49. Databank The numbers behind the trends, including all the findings from this years Attitudes Survey 61. Final word Privacy is fast becoming an unattainable luxury, says Liam Bailey NEIGHBOURHOOD WATCH A round-up of the worlds hottest new zones

21、, quarters, barrios and burbs page 36 MANY HAPPY RETURNS Why commercial property is putting a smile on investors faces page 40 A FAMILY AFFAIR Insights from the first ever Knight Frank Family Office Investment Trends survey page 42 RIGHT PLACE, RIGHT TIME With the surge in online shopping comes a wa

22、ve of opportunities in a new sector: urban logistics page 44HOT PROPERTY Wheres next? Our guide to the most happening commercial property hubs page 46 2 | KNIGHTFRANK.COM 3 | KNIGHTFRANK.COM 68.THE WEALTH REPORT 4 | KNIGHTFRANK.COM 5 | KNIGHTFRANK.COM THE BIG PICTURE AND THE DETAIL Few people read a

23、 report from start to finish; but if you do opt to begin at the beginning, you will find that The Wealth Report follows a clear narrative journey. We kick off with our Global Wealth Trends section, looking at the big political and economic issues driving wealth creation around the world, including a

24、 pertinent essay by Liam Bailey, our Global Head of Research, on the growing efforts of governments to control and track the movement of wealth around the world. Following that, our Property Trends section, now colour-coded so you can flick straight to it, looks at the performance of the property ma

25、rkets we call home or invest in. And finally our glossy Luxury Spending Trends chapter focuses on the finer things in life like art, cars and boats, including a feature on the reasons we like to own them. E diting The Wealth Report is always an interesting journey. Ideas that seemed timely when we f

26、irst sat down to plan the content are often overtaken by events and, much to the chagrin of our long-suffering design team, we find ourselves updating articles hours before the print deadline to ensure they are as relevant as possible to our readers. The past 12 months have seen more than their fair

27、 share of political and economic upheaval, the implications of which we have tried to capture throughout the report. The following is a selection of my personal highlights from the 2017 edition that show why I believe The Wealth Report is uniquely placed to keep its readers ahead of the curve in the

28、se volatile times. 4 From the editor From geopolitical shifts to luxury spending trends, The Wealth Report 2017 brings together the latest intelligence and the sharpest insights into the issues that matter most to the worlds wealthiest people ANDREW SHIRLEY EDITOR, THE WEALTH REPORT From the Editor

29、UNIQUE UHNWI INSIGHT THOUGHT-PROVOKING CONTRIBUTORS IN-DEPTH DATA PRIME PROPERTY MARKET EXPERTISE Beijing Shanghai London New York Osaka Tokyo Guangzhou Los Angeles Shenzhen Hong Kong Taipei San Francisco Chengdu Paris Washington DC Melbourne Sydney Chicago Dubai Singapore Bangkok Jakarta Xian Riyad

30、h Atlanta Hangzhou Doha Dalian Delhi Mumbai Miami Dallas Bali Chongqing Nanjing Kuala Lumpur Wuhan Dublin Seattle Houston Tel Aviv Geneva So Paulo Seoul Amsterdam Muscat Istanbul Qingdao Wenzhou Frankfurt Milan Rome Buenos Aires Zurich Madrid Phuket Manila Cannes Edinburgh Moscow Mexico City Toronto

31、 Brussels Fuzhou Vancouver Berlin Tianjin Munich Cape Town Abu Dhabi Bengaluru Barcelona Ho Chi Minh City Barbados Auckland Dusseldorf Hamburg Chennai Rio de Janeiro Bogot Our annual Attitudes Survey, which this year is based on responses from almost 900 of the worlds leading private bankers and wea

32、lth advisors, lies at the heart of The Wealth Report and offers a unique perspective on the investment decisions and lifestyle choices of the worlds wealthiest individuals. The surveys findings are featured throughout the report and are also broken down on a regional basis in the Databank section (p

33、age 61). On page 24 we include a fascinating focus on trends in private aviation, education and philanthropy. Swedish businessman Percy Barneviks approach to successful philanthropy, via his charity Hand in Hand International, will be of particular interest to those looking to maximise the impact of

34、 their philanthropic endeavours. Number obsessives should make the Databank section (page 61) their first port of call. Our detailed wealth distribution data produced by New World Wealth is a vital source of intelligence for anybody involved with the wealth industry, while information like our guide

35、 to the worlds most popular private jet routes obtained by crunching literally millions of figures gives a fascinating insight into the habits of the wealthy. The findings of our own proprietary research are scattered throughout the report. Our new City Wealth Index on page 22, for example, reveals

36、the most important urban hubs for the wealthy, while the results of our ever popular Luxury Investment Index on page 50 highlight some of the most expensive objects of desire to go under the hammer in 2016 US$11m for a wristwatch, anybody? Finally, dont miss our elegant and ingenious infographics,se

37、veral of which were developed for us this year by Nicholas Felton, whose work sits in the permanent collection of New Yorks Museum of Modern Art. Although The Wealth Report is underpinned by our own expertise, we also like to share thought- provoking insights and perspectives from leading industry c

38、ommentators and influential UHNWIs a certain Donald J Trump featured in 2008 and the 2017 edition is no exception. A number of our contributors have recently published successful books: in the light of recent events, both Technocracy in America by Parag Khanna (page 20) and Superpower: Three Choices

39、 for Americas Role in the World by Ian Bremmer are looking like particularly timely reads. I was lucky enough to get an hour of Dr Bremmers time recently to discuss his views on the big po孄3(倀蔀匀耀蔀蔀倀蔀讀缁缀谀螏頀h尀椀愂缃羃缃蔃餃倀琀桞聴瀀搀昀瀀椀挀最椀昀倀琀桞聴瀀搀昀尀尀搀攀昀戀愀愀愀昀昀刀儀氀嘀昀刀挀眀猀刀圀圀稀堀漀嘀稀嘀娀甀搀眀栀匀最圀洀戀洀搀愀砀欀瀀洀最栀栀耀蝔昀昀攀挀愀挀攀愀搀搀戀阀w栀u

40、葧刀熀耀舀(_深国知名的生产基地”,为实现中国制造 2025提出制造强国的目标贡献力量。项目公司经过不懈的努力,将会发展成为一家拥有雄厚实力和颇有知名度的生产企业,项目企业坚持以“依环保求生存,以人才聚科技,靠科技谋发展,向管理要效益”的经营指导思想和“集天地之气,正人文之本,和万物之灵,创能源之利”的文化理念,遵循农业循环发展理论,积极研发高效能源和环保产品及其制备工艺装备。以国家产业政策为依托,以公司研发中心为骨干,坚持以人为本,技术创新为先导,大力进行科研费用投入,大胆创新、努力研发,已成为国内研究生物质能源领域技术力量较强,产品较全,经营规模较大的企业之一。1.5项目产品方案及建设规模

41、一、产品方案本项目主要生产产品为:页岩气系列产品。二、项目主要建设内容本次建设项目生产厂区占地面积60亩,总建筑面积31370.00平方米,主要建设内容及规模如下:主要建筑物、构筑物一览表工程类别工段名称层数占地面积(m2)建筑面积(m2)1、主要生产工程生产车间115000.0015000.00仓储库房16000.006000.002、配套建筑工程研发综合楼41000.004000.00职工宿舍楼41000.004000.00职工食堂2600.001200.00门卫室170.0070.00配电室1300.00300.00环保处理站1500.00500.00其他辅助设施1300.00300.0

42、0合计24770.0031370.003、公共设施道路硬化及停车场18000.008000.00绿化工程16000.006000.001.6项目资金需求本项目总投资金额为20000.00万元,主要用于项目的土建工程、设备购买及安装、土地费、预备费以及充实企业流动资金等。项目资金缺口为20000.00万元人民币。现项目方拟采用债权方式融资(具体融资方式以投融资双方协议为准),融资额度为20000.00万元人民币。1.7项目预期收入该项目的投资具有十分可观的经济效益和社会效益,项目建成后,达产年可实现年产值14000.00万元,年均销售收入为12133.33万元,年均利润总额5543.96万元,年上缴税金及附加为158.89万元,年增值税为1588.88万元;投资利润率为27.72%,投资利税率36.46%,税后财务内部收益率21.94%,税后投资回收期(含建设期)为4.85年;投资回报十分可观。项目主要经济技术指标汇总表序号项目名称单位数据和指标一主要指标1达产年设计产能万吨/年10.002总用地面积平方米40000.003总建筑面积31370.004道

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